---
title: "Why Goals Fail and How to Change the Odds"
url: https://skmarketsinc.com/why-goals-fail-and-how-to-change-the-odds/
type: post
date: 2026-02-12
modified: 2026-02-12
markdown_url: https://skmarketsinc.com/why-goals-fail-and-how-to-change-the-odds.md
author: "skminc"
---

# Why Goals Fail and How to Change the Odds

[Why Goals Fail and How to Change the Odds]() written by [John Jantsch]() read more at [Duct Tape Marketing]()

Catch the full episode:   Episode Overview In this episode of the Duct Tape Marketing Podcast, host John Jantsch sits down with award-winning strategy consultant, speaker, and author Kyle Austin Young to explore his decision-making and goal-achievement framework called probability hacking. Kyle explains why traditional goal pursuits rooted in hustle, mindset, and positive thinking fall […]

[Why Goals Fail and How to Change the Odds]() written by [John Jantsch]() read more at [Duct Tape Marketing]()

*Catch the full episode:*

 

## (image) Episode Overview

In this episode of the *Duct Tape Marketing Podcast*, host **John Jantsch** sits down with award-winning strategy consultant, speaker, and author **Kyle Austin Young** to explore his decision-making and goal-achievement framework called **probability hacking**. Kyle explains why traditional goal pursuits rooted in hustle, mindset, and positive thinking fall short and how identifying and solving for potential risks can dramatically shift your odds of success.

## Guest Bio

**Kyle Austin Young** is a strategy consultant, speaker, and writer helping high achievers accomplish meaningful goals through his probability hacking framework. He’s been featured in top publications and is the author of *Success Is a Numbers Game: Achieve Bigger Goals by Changing the Odds*.

## Key Takeaways

- **Probability over Mindset:** Success isn’t just about positivity—it’s about improving your odds.

- **Probability Hacking Framework:** Define goals, identify prerequisites, anticipate what could go wrong, and solve creatively.

- **Success Diagrams:** Visual tools to map out and de-risk goal pathways.

- **Multiplying Probabilities:** Understand true odds by combining variables—not averaging them.

- **Resilience & Repetition:** Trying multiple times can dramatically increase your likelihood of success.

- **Mindset Shift:** Think negative—not to be pessimistic, but to preemptively solve issues.

## Notable Moments (Time‑Stamped)

- **00:01 –** Introduction of Kyle Austin Young and today’s topic

- **00:59 –** Odds vs. mindset in goal-setting

- **04:15 –** Kyle’s story of landing a high-stakes job at age 21

- **07:04 –** Breakdown of the success diagram framework

- **09:19 –** Why averaging leads to false confidence

- **11:57 –** Miracle on Ice and the math of multiple attempts

- **14:32 –** Getting started with probability thinking

- **15:41 –** The four paths to success explained

- **17:47 –** Edison and the role of experimentation in resilience

- **19:54 –** Where to find Kyle and his book

## Quotes

> “What’s going to have to go right? And what could go wrong? That’s where your opportunity to change the odds lives.” — Kyle Austin Young

> “Success is really about identifying what could derail you and finding creative ways to make those outcomes less likely.” — Kyle Austin Young

## Connect with Kyle Austin Young

- **Book:** *Success Is a Numbers Game* — available on Amazon, Barnes & Noble, and Penguin Random House

- **Website:** [kyleaustinyoung.com]()

- **LinkedIn:** [Kyle Austin Young]()

 

 
 
 
 

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